11-17-3
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - A panel of outside experts told the CIA
that advances in technology due to genomic research could produce the worst
known diseases and the "most frightening" biological weapons, a CIA
report said on Friday.
"The effects of some of these engineered biological agents could be worse
than any disease known to man," the panel told the CIA.
The unclassified two-page CIA report dated Nov. 3, 2003, and titled "The
Darker Bioweapons Future," was posted on the Federation of American Scientists
Web site at http:/www.fas.org/irp/cia/product/bw1103.pdf.
It summed up a January workshop of a panel of non-government science experts
who discussed with the CIA the potential threat from new biological weapons.
Growth in biotechnology and a knowledge explosion due to the genomic revolution
which provided an understanding of genes and how they work could be used in
unpredictable ways, the panel warned.
"The same science that may cure some of our worst
diseases could be used to create the world's most frightening weapons,"
the report said.
In the next decade or beyond, some of the unconventional pathogens that could
arise included binary biological warfare agents that only become effective when
two components are combined, such as a mild pathogen and its antidote, the panel
of experts said.
There could be development of "designer" biological warfare agents
created to be antibiotic-resistant or evade an immune response, weaponized gene
therapy vectors that cause permanent change in the victim's genetic makeup,
or a "stealth" virus which could lie dormant inside the victim for
an extended period before being triggered, the report said.
STEALTH VIRUS ATTACK
One panelist gave as an example the possibility of a stealth virus attack that
could cripple a large portion of people in their forties with severe arthritis,
leaving a country with massive health and economic problems.
"The resulting diversity of new BW (biological warfare) agents could enable
such a broad range of attack scenarios that it would be virtually impossible
to anticipate and defend against," the report said. "As a result,
there could be a considerable lag time in developing effective biodefense measures."
Traditional intelligence methods for monitoring development of weapons of mass
destruction "could prove inadequate" in dealing with the threat from
advanced biological weapons, the report said.
Detecting the development of novel bioengineered pathogens will increasingly
depend on human intelligence and require a closer working relationship between
the intelligence and biological sciences community, the report said.
One panelist proposed that the bioscience community help government by acting
as a "living sensor web" at international conferences, in university
labs and through informal networks, to identify and alert about new technical
advances with weaponization potential, the report said.
"The quality of intelligence can only improve from the rough and tumble
of peer review and outside input," said Steven Aftergood, director of the
government secrecy project at the Federation of American Scientists.
"In the past, CIA has been completely insular, they have been unwilling
to engage with outside experts," he said, "and so this is a welcome
departure from that norm."
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